While Gallup has Romney up +7 points over Obama today at 52% to 45% and Rasmussen has Romney up +2 points over Obama today at 49% to 47% in their respective national daily tracking polls, the poll I’m most excited about is the daily swing state poll out today by Rasmussen which has Romney up +4 points over Obama at 50% to 46%.
Just check out the recent history on this poll:
Release Date | Obama | Romney | NET |
October 21, 2012 | 46 | 50 | Romney +4 |
October 20, 2012 | 46 | 50 | Romney +4 |
October 19, 2012 | 47 | 49 | Romney +2 |
October 18, 2012 | 48 | 49 | Romney +1 |
October 17, 2012 | 50 | 47 | Obama +3 |
October 16, 2012 | 49 | 47 | Obama +2 |
October 15, 2012 | 48 | 48 | Even |
The debate was on October 16, so it looks like Romney has started to push ahead in the swing states since the last debate. Let’s hope it just keeps increasing. The last time Romney was at +4 over Obama was in early September, and since then Obama’s been as high as +6 points. You can see the full history here.
The swing states are Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. Together they all hold 146 Electoral College votes.